📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CS Constantine x USM Alger
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Analysis from CS Constantine x USM Alger for the Algeria Division 1 – 21 of January
🏟️ CS Constantine X USM Alger – Algeria Division 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CS Constantine and USM Alger.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290173 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CS Constantine x USM Alger
Should you bet on CS Constantine?
🔵 CS Constantine: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $438.00
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$38.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.
Is it worth betting on USM Alger?
🔴 USM Alger: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $509.44;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.56.
Handicaps analysis for the match CS Constantine x USM Alger
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CS Constantine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CS Constantine x USM Alger
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CS Constantine, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CS Constantine.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CS Constantine x USM Alger
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves