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Home » Predictions » Others » CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
CS Fola Esch CS Fola Esch
PREDICTION US Mondorf-Les-Bains Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
US Mondorf-Les-Bains US Mondorf-Les-Bains
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
CS Fola Esch CS Fola Esch
4.54
X
4.00
US Mondorf-Les-Bains US Mondorf-Les-Bains
1.56

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains:

🔮 US Mondorf-Les-Bains wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on US Mondorf-Les-Bains, you can win up to $780.00!

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The main points for the tip for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CS Fola Esch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on US Mondorf-Les-Bains in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, US Mondorf-Les-Bains conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, CS Fola Esch conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against US Mondorf-Les-Bains.

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Summary

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Analysis from CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September

🏟️ CS Fola Esch X US Mondorf-Les-Bains – Luxembourg Division Nationale
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 CS Fola Esch – Winning probability: 9.92% | Fair line: 10.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.33% | Fair line: 5.77
🔴 US Mondorf-Les-Bains – Winning probability: 72.75% | Fair line: 1.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CS Fola Esch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

Should you bet on CS Fola Esch?

🔵 CS Fola Esch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $354.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$546.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on US Mondorf-Les-Bains?

🔴 US Mondorf-Les-Bains: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $408.80;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CS Fola Esch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 CS Fola Esch and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 CS Fola Esch.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 CS Fola Esch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CS Fola Esch x US Mondorf-Les-Bains

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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