📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion
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Analysis from CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ CSD Comunicaciones X Nueva Concepcion – Guatemala Liga Nacional
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288253 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion
Is betting on CSD Comunicaciones worth it?
🔵 CSD Comunicaciones: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 890 times – profiting $258.10;
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$148.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $245.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.00.
Should you bet on Nueva Concepcion?
🔴 Nueva Concepcion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $332.80;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$627.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CSD Comunicaciones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 CSD Comunicaciones, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 CSD Comunicaciones.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Nueva Concepcion.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSD Comunicaciones x Nueva Concepcion
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves