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Home » Predictions » Others » CSD Municipal x Marquense Betting tips for May 11 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 21h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
CSD Municipal CSD Municipal
PREDICTION CSD Municipal wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Marquense Marquense
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

CSD Municipal x Marquense Betting tips for May 11 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CSD Municipal x Marquense, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
21:00
CSD Municipal CSD Municipal
1.25
X
4.80
Marquense Marquense
9.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CSD Municipal x Marquense:

🔮 CSD Municipal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSD Municipal, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CSD Municipal x Marquense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CSD Municipal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marquense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 CSD Municipal did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 CSD Municipal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Marquense playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CSD Municipal x Marquense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CSD Municipal x Marquense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CSD Municipal x Marquense for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 11 of May

🏟️ CSD Municipal X Marquense – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CSD Municipal – Winning probability: 93.81% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.35% | Fair line: 18.69
🔴 Marquense – Winning probability: 0.84% | Fair line: 119.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CSD Municipal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CSD Municipal x Marquense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CSD Municipal x Marquense

Is it worth betting on CSD Municipal?

🔵 CSD Municipal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $235.00
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $190.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Marquense?

🔴 Marquense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $86.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$904.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CSD Municipal x Marquense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CSD Municipal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSD Municipal x Marquense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 CSD Municipal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 CSD Municipal.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSD Municipal x Marquense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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