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Home » Predictions » Others » CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 15h30 Bulgaria First League
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
PREDICTION CSKA Sofia wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna Betting tips for March 15 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
15:30
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1.75
X
3.30
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
4.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna:

🔮 CSKA Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSKA Sofia, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cherno More Varna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CSKA Sofia scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cherno More Varna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna, with CSKA Sofia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna?

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Analysis from CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna for the Bulgaria First League – 15 of March

🏟️ CSKA Sofia X Cherno More Varna – Bulgaria First League
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 CSKA Sofia – Winning probability: 64.27% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.39% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 Cherno More Varna – Winning probability: 11.35% | Fair line: 8.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CSKA Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna

Should you bet on CSKA Sofia?

🔵 CSKA Sofia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Cherno More Varna?

🔴 Cherno More Varna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $374.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$516.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CSKA Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CSKA Sofia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CSKA Sofia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CSKA Sofia x Cherno More Varna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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