📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cultural de Durango x Basconia
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Analysis from Cultural de Durango x Basconia for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 15 of January
🏟️ Cultural de Durango X Basconia – Spain Tercera Group 4
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cultural de Durango x Basconia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cultural de Durango x Basconia
Is it worth betting on Cultural de Durango?
🔵 Cultural de Durango: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$107.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $527.00;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$163.00.
Is it worth betting on Basconia?
🔴 Basconia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $635.50;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cultural de Durango x Basconia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cultural de Durango
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cultural de Durango x Basconia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cultural de Durango, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cultural de Durango.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Basconia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cultural de Durango x Basconia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves