📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Curzon Ashton x Chester
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Analysis from Curzon Ashton x Chester for the England National League North – 22 of January
🏟️ Curzon Ashton X Chester – England National League North
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Curzon Ashton and Chester.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Curzon Ashton x Chester
Should you bet on Curzon Ashton?
🔵 Curzon Ashton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $675.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $418.50;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$401.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Chester?
🔴 Chester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $478.80
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Curzon Ashton x Chester
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Curzon Ashton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Curzon Ashton x Chester
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Curzon Ashton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Curzon Ashton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Chester.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Curzon Ashton x Chester
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves