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15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Dag & Red1.67 |
X 3.65 |
Southend  4.33 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dag & Red x Southend:
๐ฎ Dag & Red wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dag & Red, you can win up to $835.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Dag & Red x Southend
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Dag & Red x Southend?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Dag & Red x Southend for the England FA Trophy – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Dag & Red X Southend – England FA Trophy |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dag & Red x Southend right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Dag & Red x Southend
Is it a good idea to bet on Dag & Red?
๐ต Dag & Red: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $442.20;
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$102.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $424.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$416.00.
Should you bet on Southend?
๐ด Southend: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $566.10
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$263.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dag & Red x Southend
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Dag & Red
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dag & Red x Southend
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Dag & Red, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Dag & Red. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dag & Red x Southend
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
