Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic Betting tips for April 16 in Australia FFA Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 09:30

Dandenong Thunder 1.43

X 4.50

Altona Magic 5.61

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic:

🔮 Dandenong Thunder wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dandenong Thunder, you can win up to $715.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dandenong Thunder in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $645.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Altona Magic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Dandenong Thunder scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Altona Magic conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Dandenong Thunder conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Altona Magic. 👉 Dandenong Thunder is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Altona Magic as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Altona Magic won the last 3 head-to-head matches Dandenong Thunder´s territory

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Analysis from Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic for the Australia FFA Cup Qualifying – 16 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic

Is it a good idea to bet on Dandenong Thunder?

🔵 Dandenong Thunder: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $326.80;
• And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$86.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $385.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Is it worth betting on Altona Magic?

🔴 Altona Magic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $553.20
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Dandenong Thunder
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Dandenong Thunder, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Dandenong Thunder.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dandenong Thunder x Altona Magic

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.