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Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town Betting tips for November 21 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883
2.82
X
3.25
Warrington Town Warrington Town
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Warrington Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Warrington Town, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Darlington 1883 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Warrington Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Warrington Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Warrington Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Warrington Town has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town

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Summary

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Analysis from Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town for the England National League North – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Darlington 1883 X Warrington Town – England National League North
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Darlington 1883 – Winning probability: 26.28% | Fair line: 3.81
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.96% | Fair line: 4.17
๐Ÿ”ด Warrington Town – Winning probability: 49.76% | Fair line: 2.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Darlington 1883
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Darlington 1883 and Warrington Town.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town

Is it worth betting on Darlington 1883?

๐Ÿ”ต Darlington 1883: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $473.20;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$266.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$220.00.

Should you bet on Warrington Town?

๐Ÿ”ด Warrington Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $625.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$125.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Darlington 1883
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Darlington 1883 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Darlington 1883.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Darlington 1883 x Warrington Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves