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Home » Predictions » Darmstadt x St Gallen Betting tips for January 11 in Club Friendly List
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h00 Club Friendly List
Darmstadt Darmstadt
PREDICTION Darmstadt wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
St Gallen St Gallen
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Darmstadt x St Gallen Betting tips for January 11 in Club Friendly List

Our betting tip for Darmstadt x St Gallen, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:00
Darmstadt Darmstadt
2.70
X
3.80
St Gallen St Gallen
2.12

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Darmstadt x St Gallen:

🔮 Darmstadt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Darmstadt, you can win up to $1350.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Darmstadt x St Gallen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Darmstadt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Gallen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 3 St Gallen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Darmstadt x St Gallen for the Club Friendly List – 11 of January

🏟️ Darmstadt X St Gallen – Club Friendly List
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Darmstadt – Winning probability: 40.98% | Fair line: 2.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.73% | Fair line: 7.86
🔴 St Gallen – Winning probability: 46.30% | Fair line: 2.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Darmstadt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Darmstadt x St Gallen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Darmstadt x St Gallen

Is betting on Darmstadt worth it?

🔵 Darmstadt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $697.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$107.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$506.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on St Gallen?

🔴 St Gallen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $515.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$24.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Darmstadt x St Gallen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Darmstadt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Darmstadt x St Gallen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Darmstadt and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Darmstadt.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Darmstadt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Darmstadt x St Gallen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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