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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria Betting tips for March 11 in Egypt Division 2
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h30 Egypt Division 2
Dayrout Dayrout
PREDICTION No tip
Sporting Alexandria Sporting Alexandria
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Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria Betting tips for March 11 in Egypt Division 2

Our betting tip for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
19:30
Dayrout Dayrout
2.05
X
2.84
Sporting Alexandria Sporting Alexandria
3.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria

Some important points for the tip for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dayrout in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting Alexandria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sporting Alexandria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Sporting Alexandria as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria for the Egypt Division 2 – 11 of March

🏟️ Dayrout X Sporting Alexandria – Egypt Division 2
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ Dayrout – Winning probability: 38.52% | Fair line: 2.6
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.99% | Fair line: 2.5
πŸ”΄ Sporting Alexandria – Winning probability: 21.49% | Fair line: 4.65
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dayrout
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria

Should you bet on Dayrout?

πŸ”΅ Dayrout: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$200.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $736.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$136.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Sporting Alexandria?

πŸ”΄ Sporting Alexandria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $592.20;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$197.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dayrout
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Dayrout, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Dayrout.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sporting Alexandria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dayrout x Sporting Alexandria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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