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Home » Predictions » Others » De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag Betting tips for February 3 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Monday, 03 February 2025, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap De Graafschap
PREDICTION ADO Den Haag Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag Betting tips for February 3 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
19:00
De Graafschap De Graafschap
2.15
X
3.61
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
2.89

Our algorithm has selected this tip for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag:

🔮 ADO Den Haag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on ADO Den Haag, you can win up to $1445.00!

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Some important points for the tip for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag:

👉 If you had bet $100 on De Graafschap in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-1.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ADO Den Haag in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ADO Den Haag conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for ADO Den Haag as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 3 of February

🏟️ De Graafschap X ADO Den Haag – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 De Graafschap – Winning probability: 30.30% | Fair line: 3.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.38% | Fair line: 3.94
🔴 ADO Den Haag – Winning probability: 44.32% | Fair line: 2.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 De Graafschap
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255653 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag

Is it worth betting on De Graafschap?

🔵 De Graafschap: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$355.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $652.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on ADO Den Haag?

🔴 ADO Den Haag: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $831.60;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$271.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 De Graafschap
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 De Graafschap and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 De Graafschap.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 ADO Den Haag.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for De Graafschap x ADO Den Haag

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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