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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป De Graafschap x Vitesse Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h30 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap De Graafschap
PREDICTION De Graafschap wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Vitesse Vitesse
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

De Graafschap x Vitesse Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for De Graafschap x Vitesse, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:30
De Graafschap De Graafschap
1.83
X
3.92
Vitesse Vitesse
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for De Graafschap x Vitesse:

๐Ÿ”ฎ De Graafschap wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on De Graafschap, you can win up to $915.00!

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Important information for your tip for De Graafschap x Vitesse:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on De Graafschap in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vitesse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $930.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, De Graafschap scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vitesse scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Vitesse has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from De Graafschap x Vitesse for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ De Graafschap X Vitesse – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต De Graafschap – Winning probability: 66.65% | Fair line: 1.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.34% | Fair line: 6.52
๐Ÿ”ด Vitesse – Winning probability: 18.01% | Fair line: 5.55
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 De Graafschap
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for De Graafschap x Vitesse right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for De Graafschap x Vitesse

Is it a good idea to bet on De Graafschap?

๐Ÿ”ต De Graafschap: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $556.10;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$226.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $438.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$412.00.

Is betting on Vitesse worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Vitesse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match De Graafschap x Vitesse

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 De Graafschap
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for De Graafschap x Vitesse

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 De Graafschap, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 De Graafschap.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for De Graafschap x Vitesse

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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