Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir Betting tips for November 25 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 20:00

Defensores de Cambaceres 2.58

X 2.60

El Porvenir 3.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir

Important information for your tip for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensores de Cambaceres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on El Porvenir in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $270.0. 👉 El Porvenir did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 Defensores de Cambaceres did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 Defensores de Cambaceres matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 El Porvenir matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, El Porvenir has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir:

Analysis from Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir for the Argentina Primera C Metropolitana – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir

Is it a good idea to bet on Defensores de Cambaceres?

🔵 Defensores de Cambaceres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $600.40;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$19.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$14.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on El Porvenir?

🔴 El Porvenir: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $466.90;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$303.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Defensores de Cambaceres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Defensores de Cambaceres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Defensores de Cambaceres.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Defensores de Cambaceres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Defensores de Cambaceres x El Porvenir

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.