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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Delfin SC x LDU Quito Betting tips for September 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 17h00 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Delfin SC Delfin SC
PREDICTION No tip
LDU Quito LDU Quito
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Delfin SC x LDU Quito Betting tips for September 29 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Delfin SC x LDU Quito, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
17:00
Delfin SC Delfin SC
3.50
X
3.25
LDU Quito LDU Quito
1.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Delfin SC x LDU Quito:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Delfin SC x LDU Quito

Some important points for the tip for Delfin SC x LDU Quito:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Delfin SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Delfin SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Delfin SC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against LDU Quito playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Delfin SC x LDU Quito for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 29 of September

🏟️ Delfin SC X LDU Quito – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 17:00
πŸ”΅ Delfin SC – Winning probability: 23.07% | Fair line: 4.33
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.79% | Fair line: 3.36
πŸ”΄ LDU Quito – Winning probability: 47.14% | Fair line: 2.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Delfin SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Delfin SC and LDU Quito.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Delfin SC x LDU Quito

Is it a good idea to bet on Delfin SC?

πŸ”΅ Delfin SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Is betting on LDU Quito worth it?

πŸ”΄ LDU Quito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $446.50;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$83.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Delfin SC x LDU Quito

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Delfin SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Delfin SC x LDU Quito

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Delfin SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Delfin SC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Delfin SC x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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