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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Deportes Copiapo x Palestino Betting tips for September 29 in Chile Primera Division
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h00 Chile Primera Division
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
PREDICTION No tip
Palestino Palestino
Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Copiapo x Palestino Betting tips for September 29 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
15:00
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
3.10
X
3.36
Palestino Palestino
2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino

Important information for your tip for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Copiapo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Palestino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportes Copiapo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportes Copiapo x Palestino for the Chile Primera Division – 29 of September

🏟️ Deportes Copiapo X Palestino – Chile Primera Division
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Deportes Copiapo – Winning probability: 27.94% | Fair line: 3.58
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.15% | Fair line: 3.98
πŸ”΄ Palestino – Winning probability: 46.91% | Fair line: 2.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Deportes Copiapo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino

Should you bet on Deportes Copiapo?

πŸ”΅ Deportes Copiapo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $590.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is betting on Palestino worth it?

πŸ”΄ Palestino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $517.00
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$13.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Copiapo x Palestino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Deportes Copiapo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Deportes Copiapo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Deportes Copiapo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Palestino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Copiapo x Palestino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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