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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportes Tolima x Alianza Betting tips for February 8 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 08 February 2025, 01h10 Colombia Primera A
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION No tip
Alianza Alianza
Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Tolima x Alianza Betting tips for February 8 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Alianza, Saturday, 8/2/2025
📅 8/2/2025
01:10
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.40
X
4.00
Alianza Alianza
7.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Alianza:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportes Tolima x Alianza

Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Alianza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $235.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Deportes Tolima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Alianza for the Colombia Primera A – 8 of February

🏟️ Deportes Tolima X Alianza – Colombia Primera A
📅 8 of February, 2025 – 01:10
🔵 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 67.36% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.76% | Fair line: 4.82
🔴 Alianza – Winning probability: 11.88% | Fair line: 8.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportes Tolima and Alianza.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1258741 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Alianza

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Tolima?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $268.00;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$62.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on Alianza worth it?

🔴 Alianza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $798.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Alianza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Alianza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Deportes Tolima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Deportes Tolima.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Alianza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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