Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for December 8 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 8/12/2025 20:00 |
 Deportes Tolima1.71 |
X 3.30 |
Fortaleza CEIF  4.92 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF:
🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $855.00!
Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $307.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Looking for another bookie to bet on Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF?
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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 8 of December
🏟️ Deportes Tolima X Fortaleza CEIF – Colombia Primera A
📅 8 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 66.07% | Fair line: 1.51
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.30% | Fair line: 4.48
🔴 Fortaleza CEIF – Winning probability: 11.62% | Fair line: 8.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449898 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
The latest news about Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF
Deportes Tolima: Deportes Tolima has established itself as a dominant force in Colombian football this season, securing a spot in the 2026 Copa Libertadores after finishing at the top of the final phase of Liga BetPlay 2025-II, becoming the tournaments first finalist after a 0-0 draw with Atlético Bucaramanga that secured the group lead. The pijao team entered the four-team stage undefeated, earning ten points with only one goal conceded, highlighted by a 1-0 victory over Independiente Santa Fe and a strong defensive performance that placed it ahead of rivals Junior, América, Nacional, and Medellín. With two matches remaining before the end of the reclassification, Tolima aims to finish the phase undefeated, while a decisive match against Bucaramanga on December 3, 2025, at Estadio Américo Montanini, will test if it can secure its final league spot.
Fortaleza CEIF: Fortaleza CEIF started strong in the 2025 Liga BetPlay II season, recording a 2-1 victory over Once Caldas that placed them among the top three in the league, but subsequent results caused the Bogotá team to fall, losing 0-1 to Deportes Tolima in the first game of Group Bs quadrangular and then 1-2 to Independiente Santa Fe in the knockout stage, leaving them in fourth place with three points from four games and a goal difference of -4, behind Tolima and Bucaramanga. Despite setbacks, the club remains in the race for a semifinal spot, having already secured a place in the Copa Sudamericana round of 16 and preparing for the next league match against Santa Fe in the fifth round of the quadrangular.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Tolima?
🔵 Deportes Tolima: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $468.60
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$128.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.
Is it worth betting on Fortaleza CEIF?
🔴 Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $470.40;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$409.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportes Tolima.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Fortaleza CEIF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
