Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera A
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29/9/2024 20:20 |
 Deportes Tolima2.00 |
X 3.00 |
Independiente Santa Fe  3.82 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe:
๐ฎ Deportes Tolima wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $1000.00!
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Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe for the Colombia Primera A – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ Deportes Tolima X Independiente Santa Fe – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe
Is it worth betting on Deportes Tolima?
๐ต Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $560.00;
- And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$120.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$190.00.
Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?
๐ด Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $451.20;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$388.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportes Tolima
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportes Tolima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Deportes Tolima.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Deportes Tolima.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Independiente Santa Fe
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
