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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Deportivo La Guaira x UCV Betting tips for February 2 in Venezuela Primera Division
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 22h00 Venezuela Primera Division
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
PREDICTION No tip
UCV UCV
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Deportivo La Guaira x UCV Betting tips for February 2 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
22:00
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
2.16
X
2.99
UCV UCV
3.08

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV

The main points for the tip for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo La Guaira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UCV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Guaira x UCV, with Deportivo La Guaira as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportivo La Guaira conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, UCV conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo La Guaira x UCV for the Venezuela Primera Division – 2 of February

🏟️ Deportivo La Guaira X UCV – Venezuela Primera Division
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 22:00
πŸ”΅ Deportivo La Guaira – Winning probability: 43.96% | Fair line: 2.27
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.10% | Fair line: 3.12
πŸ”΄ UCV – Winning probability: 23.94% | Fair line: 4.18
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Deportivo La Guaira
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo La Guaira x UCV is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV

Is betting on Deportivo La Guaira worth it?

πŸ”΅ Deportivo La Guaira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $510.40;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$49.60.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $636.80;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$43.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on UCV?

πŸ”΄ UCV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $499.20;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$260.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo La Guaira x UCV

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Deportivo La Guaira
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Deportivo La Guaira, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo La Guaira.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 UCV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo La Guaira x UCV

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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