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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
PREDICTION No tip
Sacachispas Sacachispas
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Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
15:00
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
2.10
X
2.92
Sacachispas Sacachispas
3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas

Important information for your tip for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Laferrere in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sacachispas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Sacachispas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sacachispas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 30 of September

🏟️ Deportivo Laferrere X Sacachispas – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Deportivo Laferrere – Winning probability: 43.54% | Fair line: 2.3
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.88% | Fair line: 2.87
πŸ”΄ Sacachispas – Winning probability: 21.57% | Fair line: 4.64
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Laferrere
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Laferrere?

πŸ”΅ Deportivo Laferrere: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $484.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$22.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sacachispas?

πŸ”΄ Sacachispas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$252.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Laferrere
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Deportivo Laferrere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo Laferrere. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Laferrere x Sacachispas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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