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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel Betting tips for November 3 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 20h00 Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
PREDICTION Deportivo Madryn wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
CA San Miguel CA San Miguel
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel Betting tips for November 3 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
20:00
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
1.70
X
3.04
CA San Miguel CA San Miguel
5.27

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel:

🔮 Deportivo Madryn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Madryn, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Madryn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA San Miguel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportivo Madryn scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 CA San Miguel matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CA San Miguel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Deportivo Madryn is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel:

Analysis from Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel for the Argentina Nacional B – 3 of November

🏟️ Deportivo Madryn X CA San Miguel – Argentina Nacional B
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Deportivo Madryn – Winning probability: 68.79% | Fair line: 1.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.04% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 CA San Miguel – Winning probability: 6.17% | Fair line: 16.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

Is betting on Deportivo Madryn worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Madryn: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$173.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is betting on CA San Miguel worth it?

🔴 CA San Miguel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $256.20
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$683.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Deportivo Madryn, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Deportivo Madryn.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Madryn x CA San Miguel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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