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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 22h00 Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
PREDICTION Deportivo Madryn wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
ODD: @2.24 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
22:00
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
2.24
X
2.76
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez:

🔮 Deportivo Madryn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Madryn, you can win up to $1120.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Madryn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $283.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tristan Suarez in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportivo Madryn scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Tristan Suarez matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Deportivo Madryn is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez for the Argentina Nacional B – 13 of April

🏟️ Deportivo Madryn X Tristan Suarez – Argentina Nacional B
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Deportivo Madryn – Winning probability: 54.25% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.04% | Fair line: 3.33
🔴 Tristan Suarez – Winning probability: 15.71% | Fair line: 6.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302894 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Madryn?

🔵 Deportivo Madryn: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $669.60
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$209.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it worth betting on Tristan Suarez?

🔴 Tristan Suarez: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportivo Madryn, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo Madryn.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo Madryn.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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