Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B
| 📅 13/4/2025 20:30 |
 Deportivo Madryn2.05 |
X 2.80 |
Tristan Suarez  3.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez:
🔮 Deportivo Madryn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Madryn, you can win up to $1025.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Madryn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $283.0. |
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Analysis from Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez for the Argentina Nacional B – 13 of April
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🏟️ Deportivo Madryn X Tristan Suarez – Argentina Nacional B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez
Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Madryn?
🔵 Deportivo Madryn: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
- And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.
Is it worth betting on Tristan Suarez?
🔴 Tristan Suarez: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $392.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$468.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Madryn
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Deportivo Madryn and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Deportivo Madryn.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo Madryn.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Madryn x Tristan Suarez
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
