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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju Betting tips for February 5 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 20h45 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
PREDICTION No tip
Xelaju Xelaju
Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju Betting tips for February 5 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
πŸ“… 5/2/2025
20:45
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
2.62
X
3.25
Xelaju Xelaju
2.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Mixco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju, with Deportivo Mixco as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Xelaju conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Deportivo Mixco has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Xelaju playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Xelaju as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 5 of February

🏟️ Deportivo Mixco X Xelaju – Guatemala Liga Nacional
πŸ“… 5 of February, 2025 – 20:45
πŸ”΅ Deportivo Mixco – Winning probability: 39.32% | Fair line: 2.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.41% | Fair line: 3.65
πŸ”΄ Xelaju – Winning probability: 33.27% | Fair line: 3.01
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Mixco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Mixco and Xelaju.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Is betting on Deportivo Mixco worth it?

πŸ”΅ Deportivo Mixco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $631.80
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$21.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $607.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$122.50.

Is betting on Xelaju worth it?

πŸ”΄ Xelaju: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $448.80
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$221.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportivo Mixco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Deportivo Mixco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Deportivo Mixco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Deportivo Mixco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Mixco x Xelaju

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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