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Home ยป Predictions ยป Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h00 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
Deportivo Muniz Deportivo Muniz
PREDICTION Deportivo Muniz wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Club Mercedes Club Mercedes
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
15:00
Deportivo Muniz Deportivo Muniz
1.70
X
3.40
Club Mercedes Club Mercedes
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportivo Muniz wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Muniz, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Muniz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $32.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Club Mercedes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Deportivo Muniz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Club Mercedes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Club Mercedes as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes:

Analysis from Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes for the Argentina Primera C Metropolitana – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportivo Muniz X Club Mercedes – Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Muniz – Winning probability: 63.46% | Fair line: 1.58
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.50% | Fair line: 3.92
๐Ÿ”ด Club Mercedes – Winning probability: 11.04% | Fair line: 9.06
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Muniz
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes

Is betting on Deportivo Muniz worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Muniz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $441.00;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$71.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$150.00.

Is it worth betting on Club Mercedes?

๐Ÿ”ด Club Mercedes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$538.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Muniz
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportivo Muniz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportivo Muniz.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Muniz x Club Mercedes

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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