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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Pasto x Junior Betting tips for April 12 in Colombia Primera A
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 23h20 Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 41% 1 X 2
Junior Junior
ODD: @2.97 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Pasto x Junior Betting tips for April 12 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportivo Pasto x Junior, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
23:20
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
2.36
X
2.97
Junior Junior
2.99

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Pasto x Junior:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1485.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Pasto x Junior:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Junior, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Junior has not lost any of them.
👉 Deportivo Pasto has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Junior playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 12 of April

🏟️ Deportivo Pasto X Junior – Colombia Primera A
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 23:20
🔵 Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 37.37% | Fair line: 2.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 41.07% | Fair line: 2.43
🔴 Junior – Winning probability: 21.55% | Fair line: 4.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Pasto x Junior is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302086 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Pasto x Junior

Should you bet on Deportivo Pasto?

🔵 Deportivo Pasto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $503.20;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $807.70;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$217.70.

Is it worth betting on Junior?

🔴 Junior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $437.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$342.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Junior

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pasto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportivo Pasto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Deportivo Pasto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Deportivo Pasto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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