Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion Betting tips for April 14 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 21:30

Deportivo Recoleta 4.29

X 3.40

Libertad Asuncion 1.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion:

🔮 Libertad Asuncion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Libertad Asuncion, you can win up to $890.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Recoleta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $432.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Libertad Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportivo Recoleta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Libertad Asuncion has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion:

Analysis from Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion

Is betting on Deportivo Recoleta worth it?

🔵 Deportivo Recoleta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?

🔴 Libertad Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $491.40;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$121.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Recoleta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Deportivo Recoleta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Deportivo Recoleta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Libertad Asuncion.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Recoleta x Libertad Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.