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Home » Predictions » Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves Betting tips for October 1 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h00 Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
Deportivo Riestra Reserves Deportivo Riestra Reserves
PREDICTION San Lorenzo Reserves Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
San Lorenzo Reserves San Lorenzo Reserves
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves Betting tips for October 1 in Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves

Our betting tip for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:00
Deportivo Riestra Reserves Deportivo Riestra Reserves
4.03
X
3.50
San Lorenzo Reserves San Lorenzo Reserves
1.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves:

🔮 San Lorenzo Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Lorenzo Reserves, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Lorenzo Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, San Lorenzo Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 San Lorenzo Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, San Lorenzo Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves?

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Analysis from Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves for the Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves – 1 of October

🏟️ Deportivo Riestra Reserves X San Lorenzo Reserves – Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Deportivo Riestra Reserves – Winning probability: 12.28% | Fair line: 8.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.57% | Fair line: 5.69
🔴 San Lorenzo Reserves – Winning probability: 70.15% | Fair line: 1.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Riestra Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Riestra Reserves and San Lorenzo Reserves.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Riestra Reserves?

🔵 Deportivo Riestra Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $363.60;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$516.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Should you bet on San Lorenzo Reserves?

🔴 San Lorenzo Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $532.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Deportivo Riestra Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Deportivo Riestra Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Deportivo Riestra Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 San Lorenzo Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Riestra Reserves x San Lorenzo Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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