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16/1/2022 22:00 |
 Deportivo Saprissa1.70 |
X 3.57 |
AD San Carlos  4.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1785.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos
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Analysis from Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Deportivo Saprissa X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos
Is betting on Deportivo Saprissa worth it?
๐ต Deportivo Saprissa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $343.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$167.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $771.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$71.00.
Is it worth betting on AD San Carlos?
๐ด AD San Carlos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $693.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$97.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Deportivo Saprissa
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Deportivo Saprissa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Deportivo Saprissa.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Saprissa x AD San Carlos
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
