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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC Betting tips for October 1 in CONCACAF Central American Cup
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 23h00 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
PREDICTION Deportivo Saprissa wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC Betting tips for October 1 in CONCACAF Central American Cup

Our betting tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
23:00
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
1.52
X
3.70
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC:

🔮 Deportivo Saprissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Saprissa, you can win up to $760.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Antigua GFC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Saprissa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Antigua GFC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Antigua GFC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC for the CONCACAF Central American Cup – 1 of October

🏟️ Deportivo Saprissa X Antigua GFC – CONCACAF Central American Cup
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 Deportivo Saprissa – Winning probability: 79.80% | Fair line: 1.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.32% | Fair line: 6.98
🔴 Antigua GFC – Winning probability: 5.88% | Fair line: 17.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193838 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Saprissa?

🔵 Deportivo Saprissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$482.00.

Is betting on Antigua GFC worth it?

🔴 Antigua GFC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $285.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$655.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Deportivo Saprissa.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Saprissa x Antigua GFC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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