Derby x Ipswich Betting tips for February 7 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Derby x Ipswich, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 12:30

Derby 3.70

X 3.22

Ipswich 2.04

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Derby x Ipswich:

🔮 Derby wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Derby, you can win up to $1850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Derby x Ipswich:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ipswich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Derby x Ipswich, with Derby as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Derby conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Derby x Ipswich for the England Championship – 7 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Derby x Ipswich

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Derby x Ipswich.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Derby x Ipswich

When the best bet on Derby x Ipswich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1475440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Derby worth it?

🔵 Derby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $783.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$73.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $577.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is it worth betting on Ipswich?

🔴 Ipswich: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $468.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Ipswich

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Ipswich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Derby and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Derby.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Ipswich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Derby x Ipswich