Derby x Sheff Wed Betting tips for December 1 in England Championship
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:00 |
 Derby2.38 |
X 3.30 |
Sheff Wed  2.83 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Derby x Sheff Wed:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Derby x Sheff Wed: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sheff Wed in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $460.0. |
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Analysis from Derby x Sheff Wed for the England Championship – 1 of December
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🏟️ Derby X Sheff Wed – England Championship |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Derby x Sheff Wed right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Derby x Sheff Wed
Is it worth betting on Derby?
🔵 Derby: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $427.80;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$262.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $897.00;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sheff Wed?
🔴 Sheff Wed: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $567.30
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Sheff Wed
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Sheff Wed
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Derby and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Derby.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sheff Wed.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Sheff Wed
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
