Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21 Betting tips for September 30 in England Premier League 2
| 📅 30/9/2024 15:00 |
 Derby U212.40 |
X 3.84 |
Wolverhampton U21  2.33 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21:
🔮 Wolverhampton U21 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolverhampton U21, you can win up to $1165.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby U21 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21 for the England Premier League 2 – 30 of September
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🏟️ Derby U21 X Wolverhampton U21 – England Premier League 2 |
When the best bet on Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21
Is betting on Derby U21 worth it?
🔵 Derby U21: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $350.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $539.60
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.40.
Should you bet on Wolverhampton U21?
🔴 Wolverhampton U21: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $731.50
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$281.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Derby U21
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Derby U21 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Derby U21.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Derby U21.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby U21 x Wolverhampton U21
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
