| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Derince Spor A.S.2.27 |
X 3.00 |
Edirnespor  3.05 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
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Analysis from Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 16 of January
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ποΈ Derince Spor A.S. X Edirnespor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 |
When the best bet on Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
Is it a good idea to bet on Derince Spor A.S.?
π΅ Derince Spor A.S.: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $556.60;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$3.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$190.00.
Is it worth betting on Edirnespor?
π΄ Edirnespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$85.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Derince Spor A.S.
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Derince Spor A.S. and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Derince Spor A.S..
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Edirnespor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
