📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
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Analysis from Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 3 – 16 of January
🏟️ Derince Spor A.S. X Edirnespor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 3
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
Is it a good idea to bet on Derince Spor A.S.?
🔵 Derince Spor A.S.: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $543.95;
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$26.05.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.
Is betting on Edirnespor worth it?
🔴 Edirnespor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $615.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$85.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derince Spor A.S.
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Derince Spor A.S. and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Derince Spor A.S.. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derince Spor A.S. x Edirnespor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves