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Home » Predictions » Others » Derthona x Fossano Calcio Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Derthona Derthona
PREDICTION Derthona wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Fossano Calcio Fossano Calcio
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Derthona x Fossano Calcio Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Derthona x Fossano Calcio, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Derthona Derthona
1.56
X
3.70
Fossano Calcio Fossano Calcio
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Derthona x Fossano Calcio:

🔮 Derthona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Derthona, you can win up to $780.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Derthona x Fossano Calcio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Derthona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fossano Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fossano Calcio, Derthona scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Derthona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Derthona has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Fossano Calcio.

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Summary

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Analysis from Derthona x Fossano Calcio for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Derthona X Fossano Calcio – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Derthona – Winning probability: 71.60% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.00% | Fair line: 5.0
🔴 Fossano Calcio – Winning probability: 8.40% | Fair line: 11.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derthona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Derthona x Fossano Calcio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Derthona x Fossano Calcio

Is it a good idea to bet on Derthona?

🔵 Derthona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $403.20;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$123.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$260.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fossano Calcio?

🔴 Fossano Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Derthona x Fossano Calcio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Derthona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derthona x Fossano Calcio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Derthona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Derthona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fossano Calcio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derthona x Fossano Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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