📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Diriangen x UNAN Managua
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Analysis from Diriangen x UNAN Managua for the Nicaragua Clausura – 22 of January
🏟️ Diriangen X UNAN Managua – Nicaragua Clausura
When the best bet on Diriangen x UNAN Managua is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Diriangen x UNAN Managua
Should you bet on Diriangen?
🔵 Diriangen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $245.70;
- And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $152.00
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$808.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on UNAN Managua?
🔴 UNAN Managua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $398.50
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$551.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Diriangen x UNAN Managua
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Diriangen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Diriangen x UNAN Managua
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Diriangen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Diriangen.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Diriangen x UNAN Managua
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves