📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas
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Analysis from Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas for the Brazil Campeonato Baiano – 20 of January
🏟️ Doce Mel Esporte Clube X Atletico Alagoinhas – Brazil Campeonato Baiano
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Doce Mel Esporte Clube and Atletico Alagoinhas.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289909 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas
Is betting on Doce Mel Esporte Clube worth it?
🔵 Doce Mel Esporte Clube: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $650.25;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$179.75.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $395.25
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.75.
Should you bet on Atletico Alagoinhas?
🔴 Atletico Alagoinhas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $414.00;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$104.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Doce Mel Esporte Clube
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Doce Mel Esporte Clube, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Doce Mel Esporte Clube. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Doce Mel Esporte Clube x Atletico Alagoinhas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves