📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Doncaster x Wigan
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Analysis from Doncaster x Wigan for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Doncaster X Wigan – England League 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Doncaster and Wigan.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Doncaster x Wigan
Should you bet on Doncaster?
🔵 Doncaster: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$710.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $335.50;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$554.50.
Should you bet on Wigan?
🔴 Wigan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$260.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Doncaster x Wigan
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Doncaster
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Doncaster x Wigan
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Doncaster, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Doncaster.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Doncaster.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Doncaster x Wigan
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Aside from our tips for Doncaster x Wigan generated by our algorithm, you can also receive on your cellphone bets made by the experts from Clube da Aposta on this Saturday. Click on the banner below and join our VIP group on Telegram right now. And the best part: for free!
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves