Dourados x Aguia Negra Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
| 📅 9/3/2025 19:30 |
 Dourados1.62 |
X 3.60 |
Aguia Negra  4.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dourados x Aguia Negra:
🔮 Dourados wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dourados, you can win up to $810.00!
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The main points for the tip for Dourados x Aguia Negra: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dourados in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from Dourados x Aguia Negra for the Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense – 9 of March
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🏟️ Dourados X Aguia Negra – Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dourados and Aguia Negra.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Dourados x Aguia Negra
Is it a good idea to bet on Dourados?
🔵 Dourados: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $471.20
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$231.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.
Is betting on Aguia Negra worth it?
🔴 Aguia Negra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $252.00
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$678.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dourados x Aguia Negra
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Dourados
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dourados x Aguia Negra
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Dourados, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Dourados.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Dourados.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dourados x Aguia Negra
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
