Dundee x Motherwell Betting tips for February 4 in Scotland Premiership
| 📅 4/2/2026 19:45 |
Dundee4.38 |
X 3.40 |
Motherwell ![]() 1.75 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dundee x Motherwell:
🔮 Dundee wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dundee, you can win up to $2190.00!
Important information for your tip for Dundee x Motherwell:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dundee in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $440.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Motherwell in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Motherwell, Dundee scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Motherwell matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Dundee conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Motherwell.
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Analysis from Dundee x Motherwell for the Scotland Premiership – 4 of February
🏟️ Dundee X Motherwell – Scotland Premiership
📅 4 of February, 2026 – 19:45
🔵 Dundee – Winning probability: 33.34% | Fair line: 3.0
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.72% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 Motherwell – Winning probability: 36.94% | Fair line: 2.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dundee
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Dundee x Motherwell
We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Dundee x Motherwell.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Dundee had a huge Decreased of -20.00%: the market opened with odds of @4.75 for Dundee and now the odds are @3.8.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Decreased of -5.71%: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for Draw and now the odds are @3.3.
📊 The odds for Motherwell had a great Raised of 17.65%: the market opened with odds of @1.7 for Motherwell and now the odds are @2.0.
📊 The market decreased away team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at 0.75 is now at 0.50 for Motherwell.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.5 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Dundee x Motherwell
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dundee x Motherwell right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1474414 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Dundee?
🔵 Dundee: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – profiting $1115.40;
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$445.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Motherwell?
🔴 Motherwell: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $277.50;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Dundee x Motherwell
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Dundee
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dundee x Motherwell
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Dundee and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Dundee.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Dundee.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dundee x Motherwell
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Dundee x Motherwell
Who is the favourite: Dundee or Motherwell?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Motherwell, with a win probability of 36.94%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Dundee or Motherwell?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Motherwell has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 36.94%. If you bet on Motherwell, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Dundee beating Motherwell today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Dundee to win approximately 33 of them against Motherwell.
What are the chances of Motherwell beating Dundee today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Motherwell to win approximately 37 of them against Dundee.
Which team should I bet on: Dundee or Motherwell?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Dundee wins, with an expected value of 26.67%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Dundee paying today? See what you can win by betting on Dundee x Motherwell:
The average odds for Dundee to beat Motherwell today are 4.38. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4380.00 if Dundee wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Motherwell paying today? See what you can win by betting on Dundee x Motherwell:
The average odds for Motherwell to beat Dundee today are 1.75. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1750.00 if Motherwell wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Dundee