Duren x Cologne II Betting tips for September 29 in Germany Regionalliga West
| 📅 29/9/2024 09:00 |
 Duren2.10 |
X 3.50 |
Cologne II  2.89 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Duren x Cologne II:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
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The main points for the tip for Duren x Cologne II: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Duren in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Duren x Cologne II?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Duren x Cologne II, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Duren x Cologne II for the Germany Regionalliga West – 29 of September
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🏟️ Duren X Cologne II – Germany Regionalliga West |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Duren and Cologne II.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Duren x Cologne II
Should you bet on Duren?
🔵 Duren: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$15.00.
Should you bet on Cologne II?
🔴 Cologne II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $548.10
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$161.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Duren x Cologne II
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Duren
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Duren x Cologne II
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Duren, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Duren.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Cologne II.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Duren x Cologne II
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
