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Home » Predictions » Others » Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt Betting tips for October 30 in Germany DFB Pokal
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h45 Germany DFB Pokal
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
PREDICTION Dynamo Dresden wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Darmstadt Darmstadt
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt Betting tips for October 30 in Germany DFB Pokal

Our betting tip for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:45
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
2.20
X
3.60
Darmstadt Darmstadt
2.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt:

🔮 Dynamo Dresden wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dynamo Dresden, you can win up to $1100.00!

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Important information for your tip for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Dresden in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Darmstadt in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $278.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Darmstadt scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Dynamo Dresden conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Darmstadt.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Darmstadt has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Darmstadt won the last 3 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt for the Germany DFB Pokal – 30 of October

🏟️ Dynamo Dresden X Darmstadt – Germany DFB Pokal
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Dynamo Dresden – Winning probability: 51.15% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.93% | Fair line: 6.28
🔴 Darmstadt – Winning probability: 32.92% | Fair line: 3.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dynamo Dresden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt

Is it a good idea to bet on Dynamo Dresden?

🔵 Dynamo Dresden: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Should you bet on Darmstadt?

🔴 Darmstadt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $587.40;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Dynamo Dresden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Dynamo Dresden and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Dynamo Dresden.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Darmstadt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dynamo Dresden x Darmstadt

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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