Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Dynamo Makhachkala 4.84

X 3.62

Dinamo Moscow 1.69

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow:

🔮 Dinamo Moscow wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dinamo Moscow, you can win up to $845.00!

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Important information for your tip for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Makhachkala in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $151.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Moscow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-308.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Dynamo Makhachkala scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dinamo Moscow scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Dinamo Moscow matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Dinamo Moscow conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Dinamo Moscow has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow for the Russia Premier League – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow

Is it a good idea to bet on Dynamo Makhachkala?

🔵 Dynamo Makhachkala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $307.20
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$612.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $471.60
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$348.40.

Should you bet on Dinamo Moscow?

🔴 Dinamo Moscow: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $510.60
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Dynamo Makhachkala
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Dynamo Makhachkala and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Dynamo Makhachkala.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Dinamo Moscow.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dynamo Makhachkala x Dinamo Moscow

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.