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Home » Predictions » Others » E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 16h15 Spain Tercera Group 14
E.F. Puebla de la Calzada E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
PREDICTION No tip
Arroyo CP Arroyo CP
Don't miss this prediction!

E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
16:15
E.F. Puebla de la Calzada E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
2.00
X
3.25
Arroyo CP Arroyo CP
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP

Some important points for the tip for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arroyo CP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Arroyo CP conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 9 of March

🏟️ E.F. Puebla de la Calzada X Arroyo CP – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada – Winning probability: 52.29% | Fair line: 1.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.94% | Fair line: 3.71
🔴 Arroyo CP – Winning probability: 20.77% | Fair line: 4.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between E.F. Puebla de la Calzada and Arroyo CP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP

Should you bet on E.F. Puebla de la Calzada?

🔵 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is it worth betting on Arroyo CP?

🔴 Arroyo CP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 E.F. Puebla de la Calzada.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Arroyo CP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for E.F. Puebla de la Calzada x Arroyo CP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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