East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama Betting tips for October 2 in Bahrain Premier League

Our betting tip for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 13:00

East Riffa 1.62

X 3.80

Al-Najma Manama 4.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama:

🔮 East Riffa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on East Riffa, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on East Riffa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Najma Manama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, East Riffa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 East Riffa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Al-Najma Manama matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, East Riffa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al-Najma Manama conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, East Riffa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Al-Najma Manama.

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Analysis from East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama for the Bahrain Premier League – 2 of October

When the best bet on East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama

Should you bet on East Riffa?

🔵 East Riffa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – profiting $403.00;
• And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Should you bet on Al-Najma Manama?

🔴 Al-Najma Manama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $505.40;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 East Riffa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 East Riffa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 East Riffa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Al-Najma Manama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for East Riffa x Al-Najma Manama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.