📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town
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Analysis from Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town for the England National League South – 15 of January
🏟️ Eastbourne Borough X Hungerford Town – England National League South
When the best bet on Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town
Is it worth betting on Eastbourne Borough?
🔵 Eastbourne Borough: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $487.50;
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$206.50.
Should you bet on Hungerford Town?
🔴 Hungerford Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $646.00;
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$26.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Eastbourne Borough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Eastbourne Borough and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Eastbourne Borough.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Eastbourne Borough.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eastbourne Borough x Hungerford Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves