EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 22:00 |
 EC Agua Santa2.00 |
X 2.90 |
Pouso Alegre  3.70 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre
|
The main points for the tip for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Agua Santa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
|
🏟️ EC Agua Santa X Pouso Alegre – Brazil Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Agua Santa and Pouso Alegre.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1306948 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre
Is it a good idea to bet on EC Agua Santa?
🔵 EC Agua Santa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$140.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$217.00.
Is betting on Pouso Alegre worth it?
🔴 Pouso Alegre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Agua Santa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EC Agua Santa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 EC Agua Santa.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Agua Santa x Pouso Alegre
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
